Napoli host Udinese at the Diego Maradona on Sunday, 24.05.2026 with kick-off at 17:00 in the final round of Serie A Matchday 38.
Conte leads Napoli into the game.
The match matters because Napoli arrive second in the table on 73 points after a 3-0 victory away at Pisa, while Udinese sit tenth on 50 points following a 0-1 home defeat to Cremonese. Napoli have scored 57 goals in 37 matches, an average of approximately 1.54 goals per league match, and have conceded 36. Udinese have found the net 45 times, averaging roughly 1.22 goals per game, and have allowed 47 goals.
Those raw numbers give the first weight to Napoli. Their recent away win was decisive and their season-long goal difference and league position are clearly superior to Udinese’s. Udinese’s last five fixtures in all competitions read two wins, one draw and two defeats, a mixed run that leaves them no clear momentum heading into the final day.
Home and away splits add another layer. Napoli’s last five home matches show a 60% victory rate and 60% of those fixtures produced over 2.5 goals; Udinese’s last five away matches show the same 60% victory rate and 60% over 2.5 goals. Those figures point to matches with goals on both sides of the ball in recent samples, even if the teams occupy different parts of the table.
Betting markets and secondary analyses sharpen the question. Paripesa prices Both Teams To Score at Yes 2.00 and No 1.78, a market signal that leans toward no both teams scoring. A recent Transfermarkt piece that examined BTTS pricing recommended the secondary selection: Both Teams do not score. That runs counter to some of the recent home/away over-2.5 percentages and to the teams’ scoring averages.
The tension in this fixture is exactly that: Napoli’s superior form and record suggest they should control the game, yet both teams have produced goals in recent matches and both sets of last-five home/away data show a strong incidence of over 2.5 goals. Udinese’s defensive record — 47 conceded — makes them vulnerable, but the market’s shorter price on No for BTTS signals expectations that Napoli may be able to shut them out if Conte sets up his side tightly.
Two simple, connected facts push the forecast. Napoli sit well above Udinese in the table and arrive off a 3-0 away win; Udinese’s inconsistent run and higher goals-against tally make them the side more likely to concede. At the same time, both teams’ recent match samples have produced goals, creating a plausible path for an open game if Udinese attack with nothing to lose.
My napoli vs udinese prediction is a straight outcome and a market-facing secondary: Napoli to win, with the safer market selection being Both Teams do not score. The balance of league position, recent result and defensive numbers supports a Napoli victory, while bookmakers’ pricing and the Transfermarkt recommendation justify backing No on BTTS as the cleaner betting angle.
