Al Nassr sits on top of the Saudi Pro League after the 32 matchweek with 82 points, but a defeat against Al Hilal on May 12 could stop the club from clinching the title; Ivan Toney, meanwhile, has surged to the front of the scoring race, registering a hat trick on May 06 and leading the Golden Boot with 30 goals in 29 matches.
The figures underline why this matters now: Al Nassr’s ledger reads 32 matches, 27 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw — 86 goals for, 26 against, a +60 goal difference and 82 points — with two matches left, one of them the head-to-head with second-place Al Hilal and the other against Damac. Al Hilal sits on 77 points with three matches remaining; if it wins all three, it would reach 86 points and leapfrog Al Nassr.
The scoring races are tight as well. Toney’s hat trick against Al Fateh on May 06 made him the fourth player in Saudi Pro League history to register four hat-tricks in a single campaign and pushed the season’s total to 18 — the most hat-tricks recorded in a single SPL campaign. Julián Quiñones follows closely with 29 goals in as many matches, and Cristiano Ronaldo sits third with 26; Ronaldo also won the SPL Golden Boot in 2023-24 and again in 2024-25.
Context is simple and immediate: one match on May 12 lays bare the paths ahead. If Al Nassr avoids defeat to Al Hilal, the title chase will likely be settled in their favor across the final fixtures; if Al Hilal wins, the door stays open — not only because of the point swing, but because Al Hilal still has a full complement of three matches to turn the margin into an advantage.
The season’s contradictions sharpen the tension. Al Nassr’s statistical dominance across goals and goal difference masks the fragility built into the calendar: two matches remain and one is against the only club that can reach 86 points and deny them the trophy. On the individual front, Ronaldo’s back-to-back Golden Boots in 2023-24 and 2024-25 mean little against the current run of form from Toney and the near-symmetry of Quiñones’ numbers; past prizes do not buy goals in this campaign.
For readers tracking sport across formats, Round Time News has been covering other high-profile moments this spring too — from the Sandra Onyenucheya linked to Frank Edoho split as he vows 'Never getting committed again' to Khamzat Chimaev’s first pro loss as Sean Strickland won a split decision, and even legal ripples in the 11th Circuit Mandatory Detention split ahead of a showdown.
Everything presses toward May 12: that match will either allow Al Nassr to begin wrapping up a near-flawless league run or hand Al Hilal the momentum to chase a late, mathematical comeback. At the same time, Ivan Toney’s blistering form and the unprecedented 18 hat-tricks in the 2025-26 season leave the Golden Boot race anything but settled — both title and topper now hinge on a handful of decisive days.
