Game 5: Wembanyama’s ejection still hangs over Spurs as 10.5-point favorites at home

The Spurs hosted the Timberwolves for Game 5 with Victor Wembanyama’s Game 4 ejection still fresh and San Antonio installed as 10.5-point favorites.

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Live Updates: Timberwolves, Spurs seek pivotal Game 5 win

, ejected in the first half of Game 4, watched from as the Spurs — installed 10.5-point favorites — hosted the Timberwolves in Game 5 on Tuesday.

The second round of the 2026 NBA playoffs shifted sharply over two nights: on Monday the Oklahoma City Thunder finished off the Los Angeles Lakers in a four-game sweep, and the New York Knicks reached the conference finals after a seven-game tear following a 2-1 hole in the first round. Cleveland, meanwhile, tied its series with on Monday.

The stakes and the numbers were blunt. Cleveland’s poured in 43 points in the Cavaliers’ Game 4 win over Detroit, with adding 24 points and hitting 5 of 9 3-pointers as the Cavs erased a four-point halftime deficit by scoring the first 22 points of the third quarter. Before Detroit hosted Game 5, the Pistons were favored by 3.5 points and the home team had won every game in that series so far.

Across the bracket, the Thunder swept the Lakers in four games and Monday’s Game 4 was the only competitive contest in that series; missed a potential go-ahead shot with 20 seconds left and missed a potential tying 3 on the next possession. The Knicks’ run to the conference finals was powered by seven straight wins after falling behind the Atlanta Hawks 2-1 in the first round — those seven wins came by an average of 26.4 points per game and included a 51-point blowout in Game 6.

Context has mattered everywhere. The second round had fallen into two clear patterns: two sweeps and two very close series, and early oddsmakers put the Thunder and Knicks on a collision course for the Finals. At the same time, Cleveland’s postseason profile is stark: the Cavaliers had won every home game in an 11-game playoff stretch and went 4-0 at home and 0-3 on the road in the first round against Toronto; they were 2-0 at home and 0-2 on the road in the series with Detroit heading into Game 5.

The tension is simple and immediate. San Antonio begins Game 5 favored by more than 10 points even though Wembanyama’s ejection in Game 4 is a fresh storyline that could shift momentum. In Detroit, the pattern that has defined Cleveland’s postseason — dominant at home, vulnerable away — collides with a Pistons team favored to win at home. That contrast between home dominance and road futility has the power to decide series quickly: the Cavaliers must prove they can translate home form to hostile arenas, while the Spurs must show they can cover a large spread amid disciplinary noise.

Which single factor will determine the next round is now the clearest question: will home-court patterns continue to govern outcomes, or will favored teams overcome jagged narratives — an ejection in San Antonio, a late-night collapse in Los Angeles, and a Cavaliers road skid — and change the bracket’s script? For now, the playoffs answer in games: Game 5s across the board on Tuesday will tell whether momentum is a house advantage or a fragile headline.

For more on Wembanyama’s earlier ejection, see Victor Wembanyama ejected for Flagrant 2 in first half of Game 4, and for unrelated coverage of football and club form see pieces on a Belgian title race and Arsenal links at Genk draw at Westerlo and Bukayo Saka rekindles link with Ben White.

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